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NATIONAL PULSE – Most say Liberals made right decision on pipeline

(desmogblog.com)

But will it be built? Six-in-ten say yes, while four-in-ten say they’re not convinced


By ANGUS REID INSTITUTE

June 21, 2019 – Indigenous rights, economic debates, provincial tension, climate change and environmental protection; all of these are at the core of not only the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion (TMX) saga, but also the nearly four years of Justin Trudeau’s government.

The Liberals’ fortunes in October will likely hinge on their ability to convince Canadians of their triumphs, or at the very least, positive momentum, on these important files, and in this respect, the decision to approve the TMX appears for now, to be a political win.

A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds that a majority of Canadians (56%) side with the government in its decision to approve the pipeline twinning, indeed, by a ratio of more than two-to-one versus those who disagree (24%).

How much public favour the government will gain from this decision remains to be seen, however, as the highest levels of praise come from Alberta (85%) and Saskatchewan (71%). Both provinces are projected to offer little electoral support to the Liberals in the forthcoming election.

Meanwhile, one-quarter (24%) say the government made the wrong choice, rising to three-in-ten in British Columbia (30%) and two-in-five (40%) within Quebec. Both of those provinces are considerably more competitive heading into the campaign.

While oil patch workers likely breathed a sigh of relief after the approval announcement, uncertainty about the fate of Trans Mountain still remains. British Columbia Premier John Horgan said immediately following the announcement that his government will continue to fight the project all the way to the Supreme Court.

Ultimately, six-in-ten Canadians (59%) say the expansion will be built, though four-in-ten are either unsure (28%) or disagree (12%). Notably, the percentage saying the project will be completed rises to seven-in-ten in B.C. (69%), where local protestshave already begun.

More Key Findings:

  • 58 per cent of Canadians say they support the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, rising five points from 53 per cent at the beginning of this year. Support in British Columbia is statistically unchanged from January, at 54 per cent, while support in Alberta is highest in the country (87%)
  • More than four-in-five Canadians who are considering the Conservative Party (85%) in the coming federal election say they support the TMX. This drops to 56 per cent among would-be Liberals, and one-in-three (33%) among those considering the NDP or the Green Party.
  • The government’s performance in handling Canada’s pipeline capacity is a considerable source of division. One-quarter (27%) say the Liberals have struck the right balance in attempting to increase capacity, which includes approving Trans Mountain and the Line 3 replacement, while rejecting the Northern Gateway pipeline. The rest are divided evenly between saying the Liberals have done too little (37%) or have been pushing too hard on this file (35%).
  • The primary concerns for Canadians, both those who support and oppose the TMX, are the possibility of a tanker spill due to increased traffic in the Burrard inlet (68% choose this) and the increased burning of fossil fuels from pipeline expansion (66%).

Link to the poll here: www.angusreid.org/tmx-approval

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About Mel Rothenburger (6883 Articles)
ArmchairMayor.ca is a forum about Kamloops and the world. It has more than one million views. Mel Rothenburger is the former Editor of The Daily News in Kamloops, B.C. (retiring in 2012), and past mayor of Kamloops (1999-2005). At ArmchairMayor.ca he is the publisher, editor, news editor, city editor, reporter, webmaster, and just about anything else you can think of. He is grateful for the contributions of several local columnists. This blog doesn't require a subscription but gratefully accepts donations to help defray costs.

1 Comment on NATIONAL PULSE – Most say Liberals made right decision on pipeline

  1. David Goar // June 21, 2019 at 8:18 AM // Reply

    Unfortunately, the principles of physical science, couldn’t care less about polls,

    As our striking children are telling all who will listen, we don’t have the luxury of time and committing to an infrastructure project dedicated to ensuring the the world’s dirtiest oil gets to market and using a massive amount of public money to do so amounts to selling out their future for our convenience.Left to politics, this will always be the approach taken. The only objective of any of the political parties is to elect as many members they can. The health and welfare of ourselves and our children doesn’t factor into their calculus at all.

    It astounds me personally that those of us living in the Interior, and contending with an ever more desperate wildfire situation each summer, can be so callous about supporting a project which, by itself, will ensure that Canada fails to meet its commitments under the Paris accord.

    History will judge us harshly for our nearsightedness and selfishness.

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