NATIONAL PULSE – Liberals’ support continues to drop as Tories expand lead

Scheer top choice for best PM but May holds highest approval rating of any federal leader


May 3, 2019 – The ongoing fragmentation of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s 2015 progressive coalition is paying dividends for Canada’s other left-of-centre parties.

A new public opinion poll from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds that more than four-in-ten (44%) who voted for Trudeau’s party in 2015 now disapprove of the Prime Minister, and more than half (51%) now plan to vote for a party other than the Liberals – or are undecided.

While the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) holds a sizeable lead among decided and leaning voters, it is the Green Party – fresh from a provincial-level breakthrough in Atlantic Canada – that is building up the greatest amount of proportional support.

Asked how they would vote in an election were held tomorrow, some 38 per cent of Canadians say they would cast ballots for the CPC, while 25 per cent would choose Trudeau’s Liberal Party. The New Democratic Party (NDP) is in third place with 18 per cent of decided and leaning voters backing it.

The Liberals have lost three more points in the last month, and the CPC and NDP sit largely unchanged. The Green Party, meantime, picks up three points among decided voters and now breaks into the double digits at 11 per cent. Fueling the Green surge – and bolstering the NDP outside of Quebec, where it is weakest – are disaffected former Liberal voters.

More Key Findings:

  • Currently, one-in-three voters (35%) say that they are planning to vote for a party because they dislike another party even more and want to prevent that party from winning. This sentiment is equally high among Liberals (40%) and Conservatives (40%)
  • Conservative leader Andrew Scheer (40% approve, 46% disapprove), NDP leader Jagmeet Singh (34% vs 45%) and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau (28% vs 67) all have negative net approval scores. Only Green Party leader Elizabeth May is approved of by more Canadians than disapprove of her (45% vs 34%)
  • Once again, Canadians identify health care (24%) and the deficit (18%) as high priorities heading into the 2019 election, but environmental issues (27%) now top the list of priorities. Priorities vary significantly across generations and by party support

Link to the poll here:

About Mel Rothenburger (7716 Articles) is a forum about Kamloops and the world. It has more than one million views. Mel Rothenburger is the former Editor of The Daily News in Kamloops, B.C. (retiring in 2012), and past mayor of Kamloops (1999-2005). At he is the publisher, editor, news editor, city editor, reporter, webmaster, and just about anything else you can think of. He is grateful for the contributions of several local columnists. This blog doesn't require a subscription but gratefully accepts donations to help defray costs.

1 Comment on NATIONAL PULSE – Liberals’ support continues to drop as Tories expand lead

  1. Leonard Hutt // May 3, 2019 at 7:30 AM // Reply

    A short comment: reading the priorities immediately brings to mind the controversy about the students who skipped school to demonstrate. Some readers reacted to in a negative punishing faction. While ‘evaluating’ their posture we need to take a second look not succumb to a ‘knee-jerk reaction and revisit our personal definition of education. Is it all about reading, writing and math. You know, the three R’s. The astute educator (I include parents in that grouping) will seize the opportunity to use the skipping school situation as a real life learning experience. There are many learning opportunities here and they are not just for the students! Time to lead the way into the future. So, this should be about a learning experience, not punish the offenders or their parents reaction.

    The challenge is, as it is in many instances, to Pause, and look again before making judgements. Check our the reality and all sides of the perspective.

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