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NATIONAL PULSE – Freeland most likely to give slight boost to Liberal fortunes

(Image: Chrystia Freeland-Facebook)

Electoral recovery hinges on large group of undecided & NDP voters who “might” still support Liberals


By ANGUS REID INSTITUTE

January 3, 2025 – Just days into the new year the future of the governing Liberal Party remains obscured as its most prominent figure, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, continues to mull his next plans. This, after one of the most politically challenging months of his nine-year term saw his approval and his party’s vote intention tumble to new lows.

New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds that in an ironic twist, the person most likely to imbue the Liberals with some (though currently faint) hope in these dire electoral circumstances is the person who played a significant part in these challenges.

After she resigned as Finance Minster in December, Chrystia Freeland is most likely – among six potential candidates to potentially compete for succession in the prime minister’s resignation – to increase their party’s vote share in a future election.

Currently the Liberal Party is able to rely on loyal base of just 13 per cent of Canadians. This group is most likely to stay with the party come what may. (Note, data released December 30 indicated vote intention among only decided and leaning voters at 16 per cent)

In the event Freeland were to succeed as Liberal Party leader, the party’s fortunes among the total population jumps eight points to 21 per cent. While this offers her a large advantage over Mark Carney, Melanie Joly, Dominic Leblanc, Anita Anand, and Francois-Philippe Champagne, all of whom generate little change compared to Trudeau, the Conservative Party still holds a commanding advantage in all situations. In a faceoff against a Freeland-led Liberal Party, the CPC still hold a 15-point lead.

For the Liberals, the challenge is clear: currently, one-quarter of Canadians (27%) say they might consider supporting that party but do not currently. Within this group of available voters two-in-five (38%) say they would vote for the NDP, while 26 per cent are initially undecided when asked about a future election. Prime Minister Trudeau does not fare well among this group that “might consider” his party. He holds a 59 per cent disapproval rating, though Pierre Poilievre fares even worse, with 79 per cent saying they view him unfavourably.

Link to the poll here: www.angusreid.org/

Download .PDF with detailed tables, graphs and methodology.

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3 Comments on NATIONAL PULSE – Freeland most likely to give slight boost to Liberal fortunes

  1. The best thing to happen is:

    Trudeau goes soon. Then the Liberals get a trashing at the polls. Then Poilievre gets elected. Then the Liberals hold a proper selection for the next leader while the Canadian people possibly tire of Poilievre…or maybe not. Then peace will prevail over the land.

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    • Unknown's avatar Walter Trkla // January 4, 2025 at 2:42 PM // Reply

      Pierre in the real world of politics, in Canada, we have an archaic, pre-democratic, regionally divisive, non-inclusive electoral system. Its time for Proportional Representation. For example, a political party can get 25% of the votes in Western Canada and not get a single seat in Ottawa. Also, a popular vote of 25% can get your party over 50% of the seats in parliament. What kind of democracy is that. Don’t let me get going on the Senate my computer might catch fire.

      This leads into conflict between regions, unfair equalization spending which is a form of vote buying, and as a result national unity as well as Canada suffers. Is it any wonder that thousands of Western Canadians feel alienated from their nation’s capital?

      This also happens in the East we have had 20% of Ontarians vote for Preston Manning who did not get a single seat in one of the elections. I believe that most Canadians feel it is unfair and unacceptable that a party should obtain power without having the support of the majority.

      Electing Freeland shows the archaic nature of our electoral system. We need a president and a Prime minister elected by popular vote while political parties get seats based on percentage of the popular vote. Party gets 40% popular vote it gets you 40% of the seats. Proportional Representation in Canada should be “made-for-Canada” where proposals that retain a strong element of local and regional representation, while ensuring that representatives are elected by the voters and personally accountable to them are protected.

      This will avoid more of the same Orwell’s doublethink: of Justin, Jagmeet, Poilievre or God forbid Freeland who when she is told to, will gladly proclaim that right is wrong, white is black and reality is whatever the ruling elites decree it to be. Even the picture in this article is fake.

       For Freeland, neither “truth” nor “reality” make any difference.  None! What better example of Freeland’s moral flexibility than to see her vote to send weapons and “volunteer” instructors to the Bandera-worshipping Nazis in Kiev to be used against the people who liberated Europe from the Nazi camps! 

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      • Proportional representation is not a perfect system either hence the present system is good enough. Besides do we really want more socialist wokes and their intolerant supporters to continue annoying us? I don’t think so.

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