NATIONAL PULSE – Freeland and Carney both trail Poilievre and Conservatives

CPC support remains at pre-Trudeau-resignation levels, more than two-in-five still prefer that party

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By ANGUS REID INSTITUTE

January 27, 2025 – The Liberal leadership race is still in its early days, but it is renewing interest in the party among voters, especially with the prospect of Mark Carney as leader.

The former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney appears to have an advantage among prospective voters over his main rival in the contest, former Minister of Finance Chrystia Freeland. That said, both still have to contend with Liberal Party members and make their case to be the next leader, and both still trail the opposition Conservative Party by a double-digit margin.

New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds vote intention more favourable to the Liberals with Carney as leader than Freeland by about six points. With Carney at the helm, 43 per cent say they would vote for the CPC, while 29 per cent would support the Liberals. With Freeland the CPC lead grows to 20 points (44% to 24%). Before his resignation, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberals had fallen to 16 per cent.

More Key Findings:

• Carney has regional strengths compared to Freeland. He holds an advantage in proportion of vote generated for the Liberals in British Columbia (+8) and Ontario (+7). Neither is competitive in the Prairies, and each garner close to equal vote totals in Quebec and Atlantic Canada.

• Looking at six age and gender combinations, Carney generates higher vote levels for the Liberals among five. Only among women ages 35 to 54 does Freeland bring the Liberals more votes (+7).

• Notably, the Conservative Party leads in every region other than Quebec and Atlantic Canada by double-digits, regardless of which Liberal leader respondents are assessing.

Link to the poll here: www.angusreid.org/

Download .PDF with detailed tables, graphs and methodology.