Clinton hangs on to a slim lead but can she keep it until election day?
Hillary Clinton is hanging on to a 4-point lead over Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential election, according to new polling data collected by the Angus Reid Institute in partnership with MARU/Matchbox.
The poll results released today (Friday, Nov. 4, 2016) conclude Clinton leads Trump among younger voters and minorities, as well as among voters with university degrees.
Trump’s strength is among white voters and those ages 55 and older, who are known to turn out at a higher rate than other age groups.
Collected through Springboard America, the data suggest voters are increasingly “locked-in” to their choices, though the 2016 race remains considerably more volatile than the Barack Obama/Mitt Romney contest in 2012.
Key Findings:
- Americans on both sides see this election as “really damaging” to their country (75 per cent) agree with a statement to this effect), and say “American politics have reached an all-time low” (86 per cent)
- Voters’ opinions of the candidates are worsening as the election draws to a close, with 41 per cent saying they think less highly of Trump now than two weeks ago, and 46 per cent saying the same about Clinton
- Though Clinton’s lead in the popular vote has narrowed, Americans are still more than twice as likely to expect her to win the election (49 per cent do) as to anticipate a Trump victory (21 per cent)
Link to the poll here.

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